- My facebook-recorded prediction was 43-29-28 (D-Mc-Mo), which turned out to be off by a bit, but not embarrassing. The final numbers will probably be 49-27-24. Hey, at least I got the tens digit correct.
- Nate says McAuliffe’s numbers look like Dean’s from Iowa 2004. I disagree — they look more like Clinton’s from Iowa 2008. Clinton actually had a lead in that race (as did McAuliffe) — Dean never had a solid Iowa lead.
- Ed Kilgore thinks the results spell trouble for McDonnell and I’m inclined to agree. If Deeds can beat Moran in Arlington County, he clearly can develop broad-based support.
- I disagree with Ed that the WaPo endorsement wasn’t everything — it was. Check out the polls before and after the day of the endorsement (May 22). That endorsement allowed Deeds to corral the momentum and the anti-McAuliffe vote. For voters who wanted an experienced state legislator running Richmond instead of a fat cat outsider, WaPo forcefully directed them toward Deeds.
- Well done VA Board of Elections for getting 60% of the vote in within the first hour after polls closed!
- Turnout (probably just
shy of over 300,000) decimated predictions and the 2006 primary turnout of 155K. Go VA Dems!
This entry was posted in
Uncategorized. Bookmark the
permalink.
